Ever Trading: 2018

Sunday, July 1, 2018

List of growth orientated stocks on 2018-07-01

https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=211&ft=3&t=NFLX,ABMD,ALGN,ICUI,QDEL,EQ,IART,INGN,NEOG,TCMD,GHDX,COO,ITGR,BAX,WMGI,CRM,NOW,UPLD,BAND,FIVN,RNG,EGAN,COUP,MODN,GDDY,WIX,APTI,ZEN,TLND,BABA,ETSY,AMZN,SFIX,W,KSS,MDSO,SLP,VEEV,TRHC,PANW,QLYS,FTNT,FB,TWTR,GRUB,GOOGL,GOOG,IAC,NEWR,DATA,OAS,EGN,WRD,PVAC,VNOM,FANG,CLR,EOG,WLL,PE,APC,LHCG,AMED,EHC,LULU,BURL,ROST,TJX,URBN,AEO,SCVL,TLYS,INTU,BKI,JKHY,EPAY,QTWO,LGND,SUPN,ENTA,RGNX,VNDA,HRTX,SURF,UMRX,APTX,MOR,AUTL,MED,WTW,USNA,TTD,TTGT,QNST,RP,TEAM,SPSC,APPF,TYL,HUBS,CSOD,YEXT,BL,ALTR,AVLR,HOME,MSA,AAXN,ISRG,OMCL,IDXX,HMSY,VCRA,PINC,ANSS,GOOS,COLM,VFC,LOPE,CHGG,SYX,NSIT,EXPO,CBZ,FCN,RECN,HQY,NSP,WNS,CTAS,ADP,TNET,PAYX,MTN,PLNT,MSG,CLUB,SIX,ILMN,PRAH,MEDP,MA,WEX,V,GDOT,PYPL,FLT,USAT,SQ,COP,GPRK,MUR,INXN,BEAT,NEO,NTAP,PSTG,ADBE,KFY,KFRC,CURO,ENVA,LEVL,MBUU,MCFT,PII,MRC,WHD,CSGP,SPGI,VRSK,DRI,SHAK,DPZ,BJRI,CMG,WING,SONC,VSH,SRI,LFUS,GLOB,EPAM,CNC,UNH,WCG,AMEH,ZBRA,IMMR,JAZZ,ZTS,UGI,SMBK,SBCF,SNV,OBNK,ETFC,LPLA,CHDN,AGS,CTS,TXN,DIOD,RBB,BOFI,SBT,SAIA,ARCB,POOL,ZTO,HUBG,ZPO,CYRX,HDS,HD,GWW,CADE,STXB,EFSC,MBIN,BWB,ONB,NOVT,KEYS,MSCI,TRU,INFO,CME,CLBK,MPWR,NVDA,MLNX,AMD,BOOM,NCS,SCHN,AAPL,MSI,KLXI,MRO,NXST,AMCX,RACE,FIVE,OLLI,TPIC,FNKO,OEC,KMG,MEOH,FNHC,MKC,RDWR,REXR,TRNO,EPRT,COLD,WWE,GTN,LSXMA,PETQ,HUD,SYY,MERC,BRKS,ORBK,RTEC,ENTG,LW,POST,NOMD,CPRT,ORLY,OKE,CQP,LNG,KL,RGLD,EQH,NJR,EXC,CCOI,TREX,PGTI,BCC,BLD,NEWM,FMC,PQG,ROAD,CF,PRMW,RUN,NAV&ta=0&o=-change

Monday, May 28, 2018

shakeout/accumulation/breakout pattern formed at bottom

Two example: BITA, SOGO.

Saturday, March 3, 2018

IBD 50 INDEX

The IBD 50 Index is a weekly, rules-based, computer-generated stock index that seeks to identify the current top 50 growth stocks.

https://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/FFTY/holding

Saturday, February 17, 2018

EP, STIB and RSI power list for week 2018-02-12 to 2018-02-17

Weekly RSI >=65 and volume surge at least 50%

https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=211&ft=3&ta=0&o=-change&t=CBIO,ATRA,SRNE,IO,ZFGN,HTGM,ADVM,VIRT,CRSP,ZN,RCAR,VKTX,FOSL,VIPS,BXC,CBAY,EGAN,NEPT,PTOTF,MNOV,LQDT,NVAX,USAK,KPTI,NKTR,PIRS,NYT,UIS,MTCH,CSRA,AMSYF,APPS,HLG,WBAI,AMBR,DPS,CALD,ABMD,PGEM,SHOP,FLDM,PRO,RPD,INST,COUP,INVA,TBK,NEWR,ANGI,HAE,IPG,WK,ASMB,OKTA,CHGG,NGLOY,ARES,WMS,MIME,MODN,ENSG,NOC,QTWO,MULE,TRHC,APTI,AMN,RIO,GOOS,LAYN,MSCI,CSCO,H,VRTU,IRTC,GIB,NTB,PAYC,CHDN,COLM,RDWR,VRNS,BMY,BYD,NSP,RST,RYN,PFSI,BR,RS,EXAC,GPN,RGS,NAVG,SEDG,SHLM,HII,JLL,CPRT,CSGS,MIII,CHH,CRM,HMC,KFRC,ZTS,SYNT,AMZN,X,TWTR,VRSN,WB,YNDX,HUBS,ETSY,RNG,QLYS,SODA,ENVA,QNST

compare SPX PE vs 10-year returns (zz from huaren by 盈盈一笑)

http://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=983820&page=104

zz from huaren by 盈盈一笑

我周末在微信上介绍了一种方法，大道至简，可能你没看见，我贴到这里供你参考：

问：没有股票经验，只想买指数做长期投资，如何判断买卖点？现在可以进吗？

这个问题最常见，答案也有很多，今天介绍一个最简单的方法，即以对比指数10年期回报和P/E ratio的关系。从下面的点阵图可以看出，一旦P/E ratio超过20以上，回报率很难超过10%甚至5%。P/Eratio越低买入指数的长期回报越高。

纵观标普过去百年走势，指数熊市最低时，P/E在5倍，最高在44倍。P/E均值大概在15倍。下图也可以看出，一旦P/E高达25倍以上，就会进入熊市，而牛市的起点通常从5倍至9倍起始。有意思的是，最近一次金融危机后的牛市从09年3月起，而那时的P/E RATIO是13倍。

因此，简单说来，以长期投资为目标的投资者，当等到P/E RATIO在15以下买入指数，并采取P/E RATIO越跌越买的策略，那么10年投资期的年回报率可以轻松达到10%以上，而总回报率可以收获300%或更高。

截至1月15号为止，标普目前的P/E 在23.82左右。

要注意的是，这个方法仅仅适用于持有至少3年以上的长期投资者，不能用来预测任何短期波动。

Friday, February 9, 2018

from IBD: Wait for a "follow-through day."

https://www.investors.com/ibd-university/market-timing/market-bottoms/

IBD's ongoing study of every market cycle since 1880 has found that no bull market has ever started without a follow-through day. So instead of relying on hunches or predictions, wait for this time-tested signal to confirm the market has hit bottom and a new uptrend has begun.

A follow-through day indicates a rally attempt has succeeded, and the market direction has changed from a correction into a confirmed uptrend. It tells you it's time to start gradually buying stocks again.

Key Elements of a Follow-Through:

New Low
- When the market is in a downtrend, look for at least one of the major indexes (mainly the S&P 500 or Nasdaq Composite) to hit a new price low.
Attempted Rally
- After hitting a new low, look for a day when the index closes higher. That might mean the index has stopped its decline, established a new "bottom," and is on its way to a rebound.
- But one up day isn't enough to tell if the market trend has truly changed. So we count that as Day 1 of an attempted rally.
- From there, as long as the index stays above the previous low, the attempted rally remains in place.
Follow-Through Day: Big Gain in Rising Volume

A follow-through day indicates the attempted rally has succeeded.
To count as a follow-through day, at least one major index needs to close up 1.25% or higher in volume heavier than the prior day. Volume does NOT have to be above average; just higher than the prior day.
Follow-throughs typically occur anytime from Day 4 or later in the attempted rally. They can happen as early as Day 3, but the first three days are usually too soon to confirm a new uptrend.

Get Back in Gradually After a Follow-Through Day

Not every follow-through day leads to a big, sustained uptrend. About 25% - 30% will fail, and the market will quickly fall back into a correction. That's why you want to get back into the market gradually when a follow-through day occurs and the Market Pulse shifts from "Market in correction" to "Confirmed uptrend."

If the uptrend takes hold and leading CAN SLIM® stocks start to move higher on heavy buying by institutional investors, you can start to get in more aggressively. If the uptrend fails, follow your sell rules and move safely back to the sidelines.

Watch Out for Distribution Days

If you see distribution days within just a few days after the follow-through, look out! It could mean the nascent uptrend is not taking hold and will quickly fall back into a correction. Regularly check the Market Pulse for the current distribution day count and any alerts to changes in trend.

Thursday, February 8, 2018

From IBD: What Would Signal A Stock Market Rally?

What Would Signal A Stock Market Rally?

https://www.investors.com/news/stock-market-correction-what-to-do/

For a return to a confirmed market uptrend, look for the major averages to rebound over several days, with at least some strong gains in heavy volume. As Tuesday's rebound showed, one good day isn't enough.

If stocks rebound quickly in volume, then the major averages hitting new highs would likely trigger a market uptrend call.

If the stock market holds in a correction for an extended period, look for a rally attempt to be confirmed by one or more price gains in heavy volume in at least one of the major averages.

The Dow industrials get a lot of popular attention, but the index represents only 30 stocks. The broader Nasdaq composite and S&P 500 index are usually the gauges you should focus on.

Another confirming sign of a market uptrend will be if leading stocks break out of bases into buy zones. If there's nothing to buy, the market may be telling you it's too soon to return.

Saturday, January 27, 2018

some quotes

It's not whether your're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you are right and how much money you lose when you are wrong.

the way to build superior long-term returns is through preservation of capital and home runs.. when you have tremendous conviction on a trade, you have to go for the jugular. it takes courange to be a pig - Stanley Duckenmiller

Once you’ve had this new influx of “new money,” the most important thing you can do, is trade it and protect it like it was your original starting capital.

If you’ve traded it like it was your original capital, and not the market’s money for you to gamble with, then you will hit another big winning trade the next time..